With Bernard Tomic celebrating his twentieth birthday last
week, it now means that there is not a single teenager in the world’s top 200
players. The highest ranked teenager in the world is currently the Brazilian
Guilherme Clezar, currently ranked at number 214. The dearth of teenagers in
the game is surprising, although continues the trend of recent years.
Indeed, almost a quarter of the world’s top 100 players are
now aged in their thirties. Not that long ago, reaching your thirtieth birthday
was almost seen as the end of your career. It continues the pattern where the
older, more experienced players have been spending longer in the higher
echelons of the game, with fewer of the teenagers really breaking through until
later.
Roger Federer became the oldest player in almost 40 years to win a Grand Slam title |
Roger Federer’s Wimbledon title made him the oldest man
since Arthur Ashe in 1975 to win a Grand Slam title, and only the 11th
player in the Open era to win a Grand Slam in his thirties. There are seven
players in their thirties that have won titles this season – joining Federer
are Jarkko Nieminen, David Ferrer, Mikhail Youzhny, Jurgen Melzer, Tommy Haas
and Andy Roddick.
For now, gone are the days when young players are real
contenders for a Grand Slam title. The last teenager to win a title was Rafael
Nadal, back in 2005, while Djokovic and Del Potro were both just 20 when they
won their first Grand Slam titles. Now there are only four players under 23
even in the top 50 – Milos Raonic is the highest at 15, followed by Kei
Nishikori at 16, David Goffin at 45 and Bernard Tomic at 48. Between them, they
have just two Grand Slam quarter-final appearances.
So why has there been this shift in the age at which players
break into the upper echelons of the game?
The first reason is simply that there are not the talented
young players coming through at the moment. That it is just a lack of quality
among the current generation of young players that are breaking into the ranks,
rather than any overall shift in tennis in general.
Milos Raonic leads the new generation as they attempt to topple the existing hierarchy |
This could be a legitimate point. Arguably, in almost any
other generation, any of the top four players would have been the standout
player. The fact that all four have come through at approximately the same time
is an anomaly, and there are no truly world class young players that can
challenge them at the current time.
However, many people have pointed to the move that has been
made by tournament directors around the world to slow the courts. The days of
the lightning quick surfaces is a distant memory, the serve-and-volley type
player has been consigned to the highlight reels from the past.
These days, courts favour the real grinders. Djokovic and
Murray’s games are based very much around the defensive ability that they have,
now allied with the attacking shots that have elevated them to the next level.
Nadal grinds opponents down with his relentless top-spin shots. David Ferrer is
a world-class returner and defensive player.
The grinding ability of the top players means that younger players need time to build their stamina to reach their level |
In order to build up the consistency and stamina to live
with these players is simply not possible for teenage players. It takes many
years of work to reach the point where you can consider challenging these
players on a regular basis.
In addition, the progress in training and nutrition has
meant that the older players can maintain their peak for much longer, and
indeed continue improving well into their late twenties and early thirties.
When you ally this additional time for improvement, the lack of decline and the
greater experience that these players can draw upon, it is little surprise that
the older players are dominating the top 100 players in the world.
It is perfectly feasible that we could see another teenage
winner of a Grand Slam in the next decade. Every so often, a real prodigy comes
through the ranks at an early age and takes the tennis world by storm. Rafael
Nadal was just 19 when he won his first French Open title, as was Pete Sampras
when he clinched his first Grand Slam title at Flushing Meadows.
However, these players are the exception rather than the
norm. In the current day, it is the older players that are thriving, and those
players that are under 23 should not simply be written off because they have
not achieved anything at the pinnacle of the game yet. Whether they make it is
a different matter, but we should expect to see players not reaching their peak
until their mid- to late-20s now.