While the French Open for the men looks to be at most a
two-horse race, the ladies tournament looks set to be one of the most open
Grand Slam tournaments for many years. With at least ten players who will
consider themselves in with a realistic chance of winning the title, predicting
a winner is a tough proposition.
However, we shall look in more detail at some
of the leading contenders to try and pinpoint the true champions and the
pretenders to the title. In this first part, we look at four of the leading contenders: Serena Williams, Maria Sharapova, Victoria Azarenka and Na Li.
Serena Williams
The resurgent Serena Williams is one of five former Roland
Garros champions in the draw this year. It was exactly ten years ago that she
defeated her sister, Venus, to lift the trophy and mark the beginning of the ‘Serena
Slam’. However, she has not reached the final of the French Open since then – a
semi-final in 2003 and four quarter-finals being the best that she has
achieved.
This year seems to have marked a change though. Her
performances on clay this year have astounded even her biggest fans. She is yet
to lose a match, having won titles in Charleston and Madrid, has only dropped
two sets, and has crushed her leading rivals. In Charleston, Sam Stosur was
dispatched for the loss of only two games, while in Madrid, both Sharapova and
Azarenka could take only four games each as the power of Serena simply proved
too much.
She seems more focused on tennis than she has been for many
years, perhaps realising that her career is beginning to approach its twilight
years. Sam Stosur has noticed the same signs, saying “she seems super dedicated at the moment, maybe more so than in recent
years. She’s obviously very focused on her own goals that she’s trying to
achieve and the matches I’ve played against her, and the ones I’ve seen her
play, she’s playing very, very well.”
Serena Williams won the French Open title back in 2002 and is the favourite to win her second title a decade later |
It was Stosur who shocked Serena in the final of the US Open
last year. Going into the final, there seemed to be only one winner. Azarenka,
Ivanovic, Pavlyuchenkova and Wozniacki had been dismantled in straight sets and
Serena was on an 18-match unbeaten run. However, Stosur produced an outstanding
display of power hitting to stun Serena in a match that unfortunately will be
better remembered for Serena’s unsavoury outburst against the umpire.
She will begin her quest for her 14th Grand Slam
title against Virginie Razzano. The first real test is likely to come against
Julia Goerges in the third round, before a meeting with either Kaia Kanepi or
Caroline Wozniacki sets the stage before arguably one of the most anticipated matches
of the tournament – a potential meeting with Maria Sharapova in the quarter-final.
Should she get through that, the defending champion, Na Li, or Petra Kvitova
should await in the semi-finals.
She has the talent and power to beat any of those opponents,
even on her least favoured surface. However, over the course of a Grand Slam,
she will often throw in a careless performance. Whether that performance comes
against a player that is capable of beating her will likely determine if she can
win a second French Open title.
Maria Sharapova
The French Open is the one title that currently eludes Maria
Sharapova. She has won Grand Slam titles at Wimbledon, Flushing Meadows and the
Australia Open, but the Roland Garros title continues to elude her.
For the world’s highest-paid female athlete, it is virtually
the only hurdle that remains. After a difficult few years with injury, she has
returned to her very best form in the past twelve months. She equalled her
career-best semi-final appearance in Roland Garros last year, reached the final
of Wimbledon and again reached the Australian Open final earlier this year.
However, as with Serena, it is her improved performances on
clay that have really caught the eye over the past month. Before this year, she
had only three titles on clay, two of which were in relatively minor
tournaments. She has admitted that she struggles on the surface, labelling
herself as ‘a cow on ice’ on the clay. This year though, she has won
high-profile titles in Stuttgart and Rome on the clay, beating world number
one, Victoria Azarenka, in Germany, and the defending French Open champion, Na
Li, in Italy.
Maria Sharapova has developed into a real threat on clay and looks to complete the career Grand Slam this year |
Despite her form though, she still has issues with the
surface. “The first days on clay are
brutal. It’s so frustrating. I never crack rackets, but those first few days I
crack rackets all the time. The physical aspect of all that and mentally
understanding that your body has to be ready for all those matches in a short
period of time on clay has always been tough for me.”
However, she does admit that her recent performance have
given her hope that she could finally make the breakthrough and join the
illustrious group that have won the career Grand Slam. “If I go there and play well and physically, I feel healthy and I feel
great. There is no reason I can’t win it.”
The draw early on has been relatively kind to her. Alexandra
Cadantu, despite being a clay-court specialist, should provide little trouble
in the first round, while Hercog or Morita should be no greater issue. In the
third round, Shuai Peng has struggled to reproduce the form she showed last
year, while her likely opponent in the fourth round, Maria Kirilenko, has had
injury problems in the past couple of weeks.
It is the potential clash with Serena in the quarter-finals
that will stand as the benchmark of whether she can win this title. Win against
the tournament favourite, and it would take a brave man to back against the
Russian going all the way.
Victoria Azarenka
One of the stars of the 2012 season thus far, the
Belorussian goes into the French Open on the back of winning her first Grand
Slam title in Melbourne. A 26-match unbeaten start to the season was finally
ended in Miami, but she has showed good form in the clay-court swing, reaching
back-to-back finals in Stuttgart and Madrid, although crushing defeats in both
will have dented her confidence.
She has played a lot of tennis in 2012, and it was no real
surprise that she withdrew from Rome, although her comments following the
decision left a bitter taste. However, while physical concerns have always been
an issue for Azarenka, it is her improved mental toughness that has really
propelled her to the top of the game.
Victoria Azarenka won her first Grand Slam earlier this year and will be looking to add to that tally in Roland Garros |
After a serene start to her career, she struggled to make
the final leap to the elite level. She began to dwell on her mistakes, her
intensity would lead to frustration and her game would slip away from her. Her
close friend, Maria Kirilenko, could see this; “She has been so good for so long, that you would ask, why isn’t she
doing better on the court? I’d always tell her to believe. I know she was
trying. She had to see herself like all of us saw her. She had to learn to be
stronger.”
It got to the point where she almost left the tour in early
2011. She went home to Belarus for several weeks and considered her future. Supposedly
it was a conversation with her grandmother that convinced her to return to
tennis. “My grandmother worked hard her whole
life, and did not have the opportunities I have to make money, travel, do fun
things. This is just tennis. Why do I complain so much about a game? She was
right, I knew it.”
It was a turning point in her career. She won the title in
Key Biscayne on her return, and would reach a career-high ranking of number
three. Her first Grand Slam title would come in early 2012, and she is now one
of the leading contenders for every tournament that she enters.
She is once again enjoying tennis, and the success is
flowing. Even the hard hours of training are worth it. “When you have tears in practice, and you know you cannot do any more,
but you are still going, you get to have a smile on your face again. It’s what
I do.”
She plays Alberta Brianti first up in Roland Garros, before
a meeting against either young French hopeful, Caroline Garcia or a qualifier.
In reality, her first real test will come in the fourth round against either
Lucie Safarova or Dominika Cibulkova, the Slovak, who came so close to ending
her unbeaten run earlier in the year. Sam Stosur likely awaits in the
quarter-final before a meeting with Agnieszka Radwanska, who Azarenka has
already beaten six times this year.
She has never passed the quarter-finals at Roland Garros
before, but it would take a brave man to predict an early exit again. She is a
different player to twelve months ago, and with many of the danger players on
the opposite side of the draw, she will be optimistic about adding a second
Grand Slam title to her collection.
Li Na
Twelve months ago, Li Na became one of China’s greatest
sporting figures by winning her maiden Grand Slam title. She was the first
Asian player ever to win a Grand Slam title, but she has struggled to
rediscover her form and focus since then.
Her major problem has been closing out matches. Many of her
matches have shown a common theme this year – she plays some excellent tennis
to create a winning opportunity, before her ability completely deserts her. She
has admitted as much herself; “I’m not
worried about the forehands or the backhands, it’s finishing the matches that
is my problem.”
She had four match points against Kim Clijsters in the
Australian Open before losing in three sets. She also led Maria Sharapova 6-4,
4-0 in Rome last week before collapsing to another three set defeat.
However, the form is clearly there. She is playing some good
tennis to get herself into the positions to be closing out the matches against
this quality of opposition. While there has been no title since Roland Garros
last year, her performances have definitely improved in recent months. She
failed to win consecutive matches for over three months after her triumph amid
rumours that she was enjoying her success and celebrity a little too much.
Li Na is the defending champion and will be looking to rediscover the form that made her a national superstar twelve months ago |
A first final in seven months came at the start of 2012,
followed by a string of quarter-final exits before her defeat in Rome last
week. However, she has taken plenty of positives from that match. “I have to say, I feel physically great right
now. I can slide on court and get back to the opposition and I liked the way I
hit on the court. A lot of positive things and I think I am ready for the
French Open.”
However, she has a difficult start to her title defence
against the much-improved Sorana Cirstea, who has already beaten Marion Bartoli
and Jelena Jankovic on clay this year, as well as taking a set of Petra Kvitova
in Rome. A difficult third round tie also lurks against either Christina McHale
or Mona Barthel, two of the most promising young players on tour. Petra Kvitova
likely awaits in the quarter-final before either Sharapova or Serena in the
semi-finals.
Li Na is undoubtedly capable of beating any player on clay.
She proved that last year as she beat Kvitova, Azarenka, Sharapova and
Schiavone in consecutive rounds to clinch the title. If she can somehow find a
way to close out matches on a more consistent basis, she is undoubtedly one of
the favourites to win again in Roland Garros.
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