Thursday, 29 July 2010

Change is Needed - How to Resurrect the Youth System in England

The 2010 World Cup in South Africa marked the final opportunity for the so-called ‘Golden Generation’ to make their mark on the global stage. The likes of Frank Lampard, John Terry, Steven Gerrard and Rio Ferdinand were supposed to be the backbone of the team that was going to take the world by storm. However, tournament after tournament has come and gone with only disappointment. A series of quarter-final appearances the best they could achieve. But where are the next generation coming from?


There have been numerous reports commission to try and determine why we do not seem to produce the same quantity of gifted players as other countries. Holland, which has just reached the World Cup final, has a population of just over 16 million, compared to around 51 million people in England. However, we glance enviously at the list of talented, technically brilliant players that they continue to produce – Johan Cruyff, Marco Van Basten, Ruud Gullit, Johan Neeskens and Dennis Bergkamp just to name a couple. So where are we going wrong? This article will look at a few of the reasons and some potential solutions.

The first major issue is the style of coaching that children receive in England, compared to countries on the continent. In England, we introduce the players to competitive matches on full-sized pitches from a very early age. Furthermore, we have competitive leagues right down to the youngest age groups, putting a huge emphasis on the idea that winning is everything. This leads to teams picking the bigger, stronger children, at the expense of the smaller, more talented players.

Let us take Spain as an alternative example. There are far fewer leagues for small children in Spain, with a greater emphasis on making football more fun and focussing on teaching them the technical skills needed. There is a huge amount of small 5-a-side football played amongst the younger groups, which leads to each child touching the ball more, having more shots, making more passes, and so developing the skills.

The lack of focus on winning at all costs means that the children have greater freedom to try new things without the criticism that would come their way. It is an interesting question to ask whether the smaller, Spanish passing players, such as Xavi and Andres Iniesta, would have developed to become such good players under the English system.


The problem with this emphasis on winning at all costs is not only constrained to the younger age groups. We put great pressure on the England youth teams to win their respective tournaments. Whilst England has indeed had success in recent times in these competitions, there has not been the progression into the senior team. Maybe it is the fact that we have bred a team of strong and quick players, who are able to perform well at the youth level, but are unable to make the step up to full international level.

The likes of the Dutch and the Spanish put far less emphasis on these tournaments. Rather, they see them as an opportunity for the players to develop their skills and intelligence. Whether they win or not is a secondary issue. As former U18 winning captain Darren Caskey said, “The youth teams should be about bringing players through to the England team, not about winning.”

However, the difference in the coaching that young players receive in England compared with Holland is staggering. If we take an 18-year old academy graduate at Ajax, he will have received around 6,500 hours of dedicated coaching within his club. If we take an 18-year old academy graduate at an English club, he will only have received 2,500 hours of dedicated coaching. Given these facts, it is hardly surprising that the Dutch produce more technically able players than England.

We can make comparisons closer to home as well. A 15-year old footballer in England will be having around 5 hours of dedicated coaching per week. A 15-year old swimmer will be doing around 15 hours of dedicated training with a coach each week. Why should an aspiring footballer receive so much less training than an aspiring swimmer? We need to provide far more access to coaching for aspiring young footballers.

The problem is that we do not have the coaches. In England, we have 2,770 UEFA qualified coaches. Whilst this may sound like quite a large number, Spain has over 24,000 UEFA qualified coaches, and Germany has over 35,000. How can we expect to produce quality footballers if we have fewer coaches and provide less training for the children and teenagers that are supposedly the future of the national team?

The next issue is the facilities that are provided for young players to develop. England has more footballing academies than any other country in Europe. However, as we have seen, they do not seem to produce the quality. Maybe there should be more of a focus on quality rather than quantity. France has a total of 12 elite regional academies – the best known of these is Clairefontaine, which has produced the likes of Nicholas Anelka, Louis Saha, William Gallas, Thierry Henry, Hatem Ben Arfa, Sebastien Bassong and Jerome Rothen amongst other in recent years.


Similarly, the Dutch have merged many of the smaller local academies to form 14 large regional academies. This has helped to improve the quality of coaching and of the facilities in recent years. This also allows the best young players to play with and against each other on a far more regular basis, learning from each other in the process. A recent experiment has been tried in the Midlands to try and replicate this, where the academy players of Aston Villa, Birmingham and West Brom have been training together. Whether the National Football Centre that is expected to finally open in Burton in 2012 will help to move toward the continental system is still to be seen.

Furthermore, the Premiership regulations that 13 to 16 year old children may only sign for a club within 90 minutes drive of their home may be helping to restrict the opportunities for the most talented players to reach their potential. Manchester United has excellent youth facilities and has an excellent record of bringing young players through. David Beckham and Ryan Giggs are two of the best players that have come through as part of their golden generation. However, under the new regulations, neither would have been able to train at the Manchester United academy. Would Giggs have been the same player if he had to stay and train at the Cardiff academy instead of at Old Trafford?

One of the most commonly heard excuses is that there are too many foreign players in the Premiership, meaning that young English players do not receive the opportunities to break into the first-team. Whilst it is true that there is a growing proportion of foreign players in the league, this cannot be taken seriously as a reason for the lack of talented English young players. As Arsene Wenger has stated, it does not matter where a player is from, if he is good enough, he will play. No manager, even if he is foreign, is going to discriminate against an English player if he is good enough to play for their team.

Arsenal receives a huge amount of criticism for not bringing through English players. However, in the past 15 years, their academy has produced Stuart Taylor, Jamie O’Hara, David Bentley, Ashley Cole, Matthew Upson, Justin Hoyte, Kieran Gibbs and Jack Wilshere amongst others. All of these have gone on to have careers at the top level, and even internationally. However, they are not quite good enough to play for Arsenal, one of the best teams in the country. They did not play for Arsenal because they did not have the talent, not because they were not given the opportunity.

Whilst there are a growing number of foreign players playing in the Premiership, the younger players constantly complain that they are not given the chance to prove themselves. Maybe there could be an argument that these players should be more proactive and give themselves the opportunity. There are very few English players playing abroad. Why do some of these players, who do not get the opportunity at the age of 18-23, move to clubs in Europe? The likes of the Dutch and Belgian leagues in particular, but also the French and Portuguese leagues would be ideal for these players to develop by playing first-team football. Not only this, they would also learn a new style of play from these foreign league that would help them further.


There are very few English players that have ventured abroad, despite the obvious benefits that are associated with the move. A major reason for this is the mentality of young players. There are far too many youngsters who are in the game for the wrong reason – the lure of the money and lifestyle of a professional footballer, rather than for the challenge of being a great player. When we combine this with the fact that young players are paid far more in England than they would be elsewhere in Europe, we can see why the players stay. For these players, signing a professional contract with an English Premiership team is a sign that they have made it. In reality, they have barely even started.

The English system means that when a player graduates from the club’s academy at the age of 18, he must be ready to move straight into the first team. This obviously discriminates against those late developers. For those that are not ready for the first team, there is somewhat of a void. The reserve team is often made up of senior players trying to regain their fitness or the journeymen players that are no longer good enough for the first team. There are limited opportunities for the young players. There is a strong argument for introducing an U21 league, possibly even at the expense of the reserve league. Not only would it benefit the development of these players to play competitively at this level, there could also be a commercial opportunity. In the USA, they have the equivalent of an U23 league in all the major sports – the college system. Crowds of in excess of 100,000 people pack the stadia for the matches between the biggest colleges. Now whilst an U21 league would never reach these levels, it could easily garner public support if successfully marketed.

Finally, the Premier League has begun to try and address this problem. From this season onward, clubs must include 8 ‘home-grown’ players in a squad of 25 players over the age of 21. Whilst this sounds like a promising move, it is hampered by EU regulations that ban any restrictions on freedom of movement of labour. As a result, the Premier League cannot restrict teams to having to have a certain number of English players. Therefore, we have the idea of a ‘home-grown’ player. This is a player who has trained with an English club for at least 36 months before the end of the season when they turn 21.

This means that Arsenal are perfectly entitled to register Cesc Fabregas as a ‘home-grown’ player. Similarly, Carlos Vela, Nicklas Bendtner, Denilson, Alex Song, Armand Traore, Johan Djourou and Wojciech Szczesny would all qualify as ‘home-grown’. Therefore, Arsenal can meet the requirement of 8 ‘home-grown’ players in their squad, without naming a single English player. With the increasing frequency of young players in academies – 45 of the 300 players between 16 and 18 years old – being foreign, these regulations are relatively lax. Whilst the Premier League are hamstrung by EU regulations, there is an argument that the cap should be raised to 12 ‘home-grown’ players, as in Germany. Very few teams would have that many foreign players in their academy, forcing them to name English players.

However, this returns to the earlier argument that teams should not be forced to play English players if they are not good enough. There is a fine-line to be trod here. We do not want to hinder the quality of the league as a whole, and undoubtedly the foreign players have improved the league, but we do want quality young English players to be given the opportunity to play. As mentioned earlier though, if they are good enough, they will play.


Unfortunately, the sheer sums of money involved in the game now hinder the strategy of building for the future at the expense of instant success. Even the end-of-season games where teams used to blood new young players once survival was ensured and European football was beyond them are now taken more seriously. Sam Allardyce admitted that the additional £500k per finishing position in the league meant that it was not worth giving young players a chance. The only time young players get their opportunity now is when a club has an injury crisis, leaving them as the only option. Often on these occasions, the young players seize their opportunity. Phil Jones came in for Blackburn last season, impressed, and is now being talked about as a first-team regular. It is unlikely that he would even have had the chance to play otherwise.

It is money though that is likely to prove the solution. At the moment, the FA only invests 1% of its money into the development of young players. Rather, it relies on some of its major sponsors to provide projects aimed at the young kids. The FA Tesco Skills Programme is a good example of this type of project. Considering the FA pays Fabio Capello a salary of around £6m per year, it might be more effective to hire a less expensive coach and direct some of those funds toward youth development. No matter how good the coach is, if there are no good players coming through the system, England will not experience international success.

Germany has proved that investment can reap rewards. Ten years ago, the German FA, the Bundesliga and the German government all agreed to work together to resurrect the German game. They embarked on a £500m investment project (£50m per year) and they are now seeing the results. Victory in the U21 European Championships last year have been followed by an impressive number of those players making their mark at this year’s World Cup. Bayern Munich impressed in Europe with a team including a number of German players – the likes of Philipp Lahm, Holger Badstuber, Bastian Schweinsteiger, Toni Kroos and Thomas Muller are testament to the quality of players that are coming through the system at Bayern Munich.


With the money that is being pumped into the English game, major investment is needed to transform the youth system. Whilst the current economic climate means that investment on the German scale is overly ambitious, something needs to be done to change the style of coaching, the facilities, the quality and quantity of qualified coaches, and support for players to gain experience abroad. There is a worrying lack of talent being produced in the past decade, and if something is not done to restructure the youth system, England can look forward to a bleak future for the national team.

Saturday, 24 July 2010

Weekend Betting Tips


Slaven Belupo v Å ibenik

Slaven Belupo have had a good pre-season with several comfortably wins as a warm-up for the opening day. They are generally strong at home and a number of impressive new signings have strengthened their squad that finished mid-table last season.

Å ibenik have lost a number of players over the summer, and were plunged into chaos on the verge of the new season after their coach resigned following a 3-0 home defeat by Anorthosis in the Europa League.

Å ibenik have a poor record away to Slaven Belupo, taking only 3 points from 15 previous meetings, and I cannot see this changing.

Bet: Slaven Belupo to win @ 1.8

Final Result: Slaven Belupo 1 - 0 Sibenik

Shakhtar Donetsk v Zorya

Shakhtar began their season with a 7-1 victory in the Super Cup, followed by a 2-0 victory over Kryvbas and a 1-1 draw away to Zaporizhzhya. They have looked a little sluggish, but are still getting the results. The signing of Eduardo from Arsenal will be an enormous boost to their attacking threat.

Zorya have gained 1 point from 2 home matches so far, and this will be their first away trip of the season. They have only won 1 game away from home since September 2008, and in every game against Shakhtar since 2006, they have lost by 2 or more goals.

Zorya do not like playing either away from home, or against Shakhtar. Shakhtar will win this, and hopefully by a couple of goals.

Bet: Shakhtar -2AH @ 2.05

Final Result: Shakhtar 1 - 0 Zorya

Raith Rovers v Cowdenbeath

Raith are expected to fight against relegation this season, although have been encouraged by 3 wins out of 4 during pre-season. Despite the fact that the Challenge Cup is not viewed particularly highly, they will be looking to use it as a psychological boost for the upcoming season.

Similarly, Cowdenbeath are expected to be struggling against relegation as well. However, they have lost their two main strikers from last season, leaving them with only John Dempster up front, who scored 5 goals in the division below. They have several injuries and many trialists, who are unable to play in this match.

Raith will be looking to get one over on Cowdenbeath ahead of their meeting on the opening day of the season. They are in much better shape than their cup opponents here.

Bet: Raith Rovers -1AH @ 2.02

Final Result: Raith 0 - 1 Cowdenbeath

Bohemians v Aston Villa

Bohemians are midway through their season, and played in the Champions League on Tuesday and the league last night. It would be surprising if they were to put out their strongest team less than 24 hours after playing in the league, and with another league match coming up next week. They were in a similar situation last week, when a weakened team lost 3-0 against Wolves.

Aston Villa lost 2-1 to Basingstoke with a mixed team, and beat Peterborough 3-2 with another mixed team last weekend. This time, they are expected to name a strong line-up as they step-up preparations for the new season. So long as the James Milner saga has not distracted the players, this should be a straightforward victory.

Wolves won 3-0 here last week, and Villa are a stronger team than their Midlands rivals. Bohemians have promised to give Villa a challenge, but the Premiership team should be too good for them.

Bet: Aston Villa -1.75AH @ 1.95

Aston Villa 1 - 2 Bohemians

Rubio Nu v Sport Colombia

Rubio began the Clausura with a 0-0 draw against Tacaury, despite being the better team in that match. They missed a number of good chances to seal the 3 points. They were very strong at home in the Apertura, going unbeaten until they experimented a little in the final two games.

Sport Colombia were dominated last week against Olimpia, losing 3-0. An early red card was a blow for Sport Colombia, but they are without an away win in 9 games now, conceding 20 goals and scoring only 5. They will be struggling to stay in the division, having finished 11th out of 12 in the Apertura.

Rubio have never lost to Sport Colombia and this run should continue tonight. They don’t score too many goals, but should be able to against a porous Sport Colombia defence.

Bet: Rubio Nu to win @ 1.67

Final Result: Rubio Nu 1 - 0 Sport Colombia

Universidad Catolica v ESPOLI

Universidad Catolica finished 11th out of 12 in the 1st Stage, but have begun the second half of the season better, with a morale-boosting 3-0 against Deportivo Quito last week. They were unfortunate to lose 2-0 to top team, Emelec, the week before, suggesting they are finding some form.

ESPOLI finished 10th in the 1st Stage, but are currently 7 games without a win and have lost 5 in a row away from home since a 3-2 win over today’s opponents back in May. Their key defender, Ojeda, captain, Arce, and midfielder, Marquez, are all missing today.

Universidad Catolica seem to be finding some decent form in the second half of the season, and are a decent bet to pick up the 3 points here.

Bet: Universidad Catolica to win @ 2.25

Final Result: Universidad Catolica 0 - 0 ESPOLI

Tuesday, 20 July 2010

Controversy in the Tour de France

Once again, there is controversy surrounding the Tour de France. However, this time it has nothing to do with failed drugs tests – strangely this seems to have been taken far more seriously than that. This is a breach of cycling etiquette. It is strange how this appears to be such a major issue, but should it really be.

As the group including the majority of the leading contenders in the Général Classement – Andy Schleck, Alberto Contador, Samuel Sánchez and Denis Menchov – approached the top of the Port de Bales, the final climb of the day, the controversial moment occurred. The yellow jersey of Andy Schleck suddenly launched himself into an attack, momentarily catching Alberto Contador and his rivals napping. He opened up a gap of around 20m before they responded. However, as he attacked, the chain came off the gear mechanism. Alberto Contador went past him and attacked on up the slope, followed by Sánchez and Menchov. At its maximum, the gap between Schleck and Contador up the slope was 40 seconds, but by the top, Schleck had closed to only 12 seconds. However, by the end of the descent, Contador had stretched the lead to 39 seconds, taking the Maillot Jeune by a mere 8 seconds.

So where does the controversy come into it? There is a general unwritten rule in cycling that you do not attack the Maillot Jeune wearer if he suffers a mechanical problem. In the words of Robbie Hunter, a former stage winner in the Tour de France, “in the peleton, if yellow has a problem, you wait, especially if it’s a person who can win the Tour. That’s how we race.” So, therein lies the controversy. Alberto Contador should not have attacked up the final stretch of the Port de Bales, and should have waited for Andy Schleck. However, how much can we really blame the reigning champion?

Some people have argued that Contador had no intentions of attacking until he saw the mechanical problem of Andy Schleck, then took advantage of his misfortune. Schleck himself certainly believes that, saying “my stomach is full of anger.” The local French crowd certainly agreed with the Luxembourger, booing Alberto Contador on the podium. Proponents of this theory will argue that this shows that Contador was seriously worried about Andy Schleck in the Général Classement. He saw his chance to give himself a better chance of wrapping up the Tour, and took it. This is linked with the argument that Schleck did indeed make up a lot of time on the final climb after the mechanical problem.

Supporters of Contador may point to the fact that as Schleck made up so much time, maybe Contador was not giving it 100% up the final section of the climb. It cannot be denied that he was driving hard on the descent with Sánchez and Menchov. However, once Sánchez and Menchov had gone with him on the original attack, he could not sit up and wait for Schleck, giving those two the opportunity to make up significant time. Schleck was able to sort the problem relatively quickly, but had it taken 2 or 3 minutes to solve, Sánchez and Menchov could have closed, almost to the point of taking the yellow jersey. Contador could not take that risk.

However, despite Andy Schleck’s anger about how Contador has retaken the jersey, it is interesting to look at the early stages in this year’s Tour. In Stage 2, the peleton had to slow up to wait for Andy Schleck after he suffered a problem. Schleck’s teammate, Fabian Cancellara, and Alberto Contador himself were the two men that drove the decision to wait. Maybe Contador had felt that he had already waited for Schleck once, that he shouldn’t have to wait every time.

The even more interesting stage is Stage 3, when Andy Schleck opened up a 1’13 gap on Alberto Contador. The reason that he was able to open up this gap was that Alberto Contador got held up behind the crash that took Andy Schleck’s elder brother, Frank, out of the race. Immediately after the crash, Schleck and Cancellara attacked, upping the pace, whilst Contador and the other favourites were all stuck behind the crash. By the same arguments, surely Andy Schleck should have waited there. In the words of Irish cyclist, Nicholas Roche, it may have been “classy to wait, but nobody waited for Contador on Stage 3, when he rode for 30km was a buckled rear wheel.”
The whole incident could have been prevented in the first place had Andy Schleck opted to use a 50g chainguard. However, Schleck made the choice to minimise weight by not employing this, and so it could be argued that Schleck should take some blame for this decision.

Contador has lost a lot of popularity with the fans, but many teammates and other cyclists are beginning to take a different view – that it is just one of those things that happens. It seems to depend how exactly you view the sport and the cycling etiquette. You don’t see the situation in Formula 1, where if a car has a mechanical problem, the leaders stop and wait for him to fix the problem and catch up. It is a strange concept, and whilst it is nice to see the race determined by who is the better rider, rather than mechanical problems, the true champions are determined to win at all costs. It is why great champions are often not the most popular.

It has the potential to make the next two stages, involving the legendary Col de Tourmalet, very interesting. Andy Schleck must go on the attack to try and distance Alberto Contador. If Contador is vulnerable in the mountains this year, Schleck has the ability to attack him repeatedly, and pull away. And if this is the case, he will prove himself to be the best this year. He has not given up hope yet – “The race is not finished and I want to take my revenge. I can end it like a champion.”

Monday, 19 July 2010

What does the future hold for England?

England went into the World Cup with the oldest squad in the tournament, with an average age of 28.7. Opinions were mixed with some claiming that there was plenty of experience in the squad, whilst others claimed that the squad was simply too old. As we all know, England were immensely disappointing, and at times looked slow and pedestrian in their football. Similarly, if we look at the 4 oldest teams in the competition – England, Brazil, Australia and Italy – they were all fairly disappointing when compared to pre-tournament expectations.


Now, let us look at the youngest teams in the tournament – Ghana, North Korea, Germany, Cameroon, Spain and Chile. These teams all had an average age of under 26. Four of these teams progressed to the second round, three were in the quarter-finals, two in the semi-finals and obviously Spain won the overall tournament. Now whilst this is by no means conclusive proof, there seems to be a suggestion that the younger teams performed better at these championships. Indeed, if we look at the style of play of these teams, Spain played their usual quick pass-and-move style, Germany played an attractive fast-paced attacking game, whilst Chile were one of the best teams to watch in the entire tournament, even out-playing Spain for a significant portion of their contest.

The Germans had no fewer than six players who won the U21 European Championships in 2009 in their squad for the 2010 World Cup, as well as three players from the current U21 qualifying side. These players included the majority of their critical players – goalkeeper Manuel Neuer, defenders Jerome Boateng, Holger Badstuber and Dennis Aogo, midfielders Sami Khedira, Mesut Ozil, Thomas Muller and Toni Kroos and striker Marko Marin.


So maybe this all suggests that it is time to jettison some of the older players from the squad and refresh the ranks with some younger players. Joe Hart will almost certainly come in as the first-choice keeper for the Euro 2012 qualifiers, replacing the ageing David James, and the now-questionable Robert Green. After impressing last season for Villa and England, James Milner will be pushing for a permanent position on either the right-hand side or the centre of England’s midfield. Having made it into the provisional 30-man squad, Theo Walcott, Adam Johnson and Michael Dawson are likely to press for a more permanent role in the squad, whilst those that just missed out, including the likes of Gabriel Agbonlahor, Ashley Young, Phil Jagielka and Gary Cahill will be pressing for a position.

Emile Heskey has already announced his retirement from international football. It would be no surprise if the likes of Matthew Upson and Jamie Carragher were to follow in losing their spots in the squad. The biggest potential exclusion from the Euro 2012 qualifying squad could be former skipper, John Terry. Whilst he is an excellent defender, he lacks that extra yard of pace and he is potentially a disruptive influence on the squad. Combined with his attack on Capello during the tournament, it would be no major shock if his international career was coming to a close.

In the more distant future, things look promising for England. The U21 side was a losing finalist in the 2009 UEFA U21 European Championships, improving from their semi-final appearance in 2008. Similarly, the U19 team was a losing finalist in the 2009 U19 European Championship. The U17 side has recently won the 2010 U17 European Championships, beating a strong Spanish side in the final. This suggests that there are plenty of decent players coming through, but whether they will progress and be given the opportunity in the Premiership is a different matter.


So who are the potential future stars for England from these younger age groups? We take a quick look at 10 players who could become important players in the years to come.

1. Jack Wilshere – Arsenal (midfielder)

Jack Wilshere is only 18 years old, but is one of the most promising talents that England has produced for many years. One of the few English players at Arsenal, Wenger holds him in such high regard that he is seen as a potential replacement for Fabregas. A technically gifted player, he is excellent with the ball at his feet, and has been compared to Paul Gascoigne in terms of his potential ability.


2. Jack Rodwell – Everton (midfielder)

Jack Rodwell burst into the Everton team over the last couple of seasons as a talented midfielder. A former captain of both the England U16 and U18, he is expected to move back into a defensive role in the longer term, but his recent performances in the centre of midfield for Everton have led for calls for an opportunity at senior level.


3. Nathan Delfouneso – Aston Villa (striker)

Nathan Delfouneso has scored goals for fun at youth and reserve level in the past couple of years, and has continued that form at international level. Six goals in five games for the U17 team, ten goals in 22 games for the U19, including winning the Golden Boot at the 2009 U19 European Championships and a goal on his debut for the U21 team have showed his immense potential. His style, speed and technique have raised comparisons with the great Thierry Henry in the French media.


4. Tom Cruise – Arsenal (defender)

Despite sharing a name with the famous actor, Tom Cruise is proving himself as a good prospect for the future. He made his Arsenal debut last season at left-back against Olympiakos in the Champions League, and has impressed at youth level for England.


5. Ciaran Clark – Aston Villa (defender)

Ciaran Clark is a former England U18, U19 and U20 captain, as well as leading the Aston Villa academy and reserve teams to their respective titles. He impressed in the Peace Cup for Villa last summer against Juventus and Porto, and was man-of-the-match on his Villa debut last season against Fulham. A hugely talented central defender, he will be hoping to break into the Villa side this season.


6. Connor Wickham – Ipswich (striker)

Connor Wickham broke into the Ipswich squad last season, as well as starring for England U17 as they won the U17 European Championships. A brace in the semi-final as well as a goal in the final marked him out as a player to watch for the future. Arsenal and Tottenham are chasing the £10m-rated striker.


7. Josh McEachran – Chelsea (midfielder)

One of the stars of Chelsea’s youth Cup triumph last season, the young midfielder is one to watch for the future. A former England U16 captain, he was another star of the U17 title-winning England side earlier this year. Fleet of foot and with a great ability to read the game, he is a great prospect.


8. Conor Coady – Liverpool (midfielder)

The captain of the U17 winning England side, the young midfielder was the driving force in midfield alongside McEachran. Assuming he gets the opportunity to play first-team football in the coming years, he should be one to watch.


9. Jack Butland – Birmingham (goalkeeper)

Another U17 international, he began the tournament as the 2nd choice keeper. However, given his opportunity, he put in a series of excellent performances and retained his place in the team. Put in an excellent performance in the final in particular, and may be one to watch in a few years time.


10. Gary Gardner – Aston Villa (midfielder)

Played for England at U17, U19 and U20 level last season before a cruciate ligament injury ended his season early. The younger brother of Craig Gardner, he was scoring for fun for the Villa academy and reserve teams before his injury, and hopefully he can come back to fulfil the potential that he undoubtedly has.

Sunday, 18 July 2010

Sunday Betting Tips


Porto v Ajax

Porto drew their previous friendly match in Germany against Preussen, although they did hit the woodwork 5 times and faced an inspired performance from the German keeper. They have a slightly changed side from last season with the imminent departures of Raul Meireles and Bruno Alves, but still have some strong players.

Ajax are severely weakened for this game. Stekelenberg, Van der Wiel, De Zeeuw, Suarez and Lodeiro are rested after the World Cup, whilst Miralem Sulejmani is injured. They have youth players up front for this game, and coach Martin Jol is being linked with a move away from the club back to the Premiership.

Although pre-season friendlies are often quite difficult to predict, I would be surprised if Ajax were able to get a result in Portugal with such a weakened squad.

Bet: Porto to win @ 1.75

Final Result: Porto 1 - 0 Ajax

Viking v Honefoss


Since the summer break, Viking have been in impressive form, racking up 3 straight victories, including a comeback from 2-0 down in their last game to win 3-2. They have been strong at home this season with only 1 defeat from 8 games, and only 5 goals conceded. With only 1 injury, they have an almost full-strength side for this game.

Honefoss are fighting relegation and have a poor away record this season, with only 4 points from a possible 24, and only 2 goals scored. They have 2 players out through suspension and at least 4 players out through injury. This will be a difficult game for them.

Viking will be looking to continue their good form against a weak Honefoss team, weakened through injury and suspension. They should be able to record a solid victory.

Bet: Viking -1.5AH @ 1.82


Final Result: Viking 4 - 0 Honefoss

Pribram v Banik Ostrava

Pribram begin their season with a weakened squad, having lost 4 players to Banik during pre-season, as well as losing their coach. With little money to spend on replacements, they will struggle to get a result here.

Banik Ostrava are eyeing up a top 3 finish and will be looking to get off to a good start. They have lost their two top strikers over the summer, but have signed decent replacements, who they will be hoping can find the goals. They won 6-0 away from home against WIT Georgia in the Europa League on Thursday, suggesting they are looking good.

It would be a surprise if Pribram were to win this, and I expect Banik Ostrava to get their domestic season off to a good start here.

Bet: Banik Ostrava to win @ 2.25

Final Result: Pribram 0 - 0 Banik Ostrava

England U19 v Austria U19

The opening match for England in these finals is vital. The top two sides qualify from the group and with the French and the Dutch also in the group, they will be looking to get off to a good start. England reached the final a year ago, with Aston Villa striker, Nathan Delfouneso, winning the Golden Boot. He returns again this year, with Frank Nouble, both of whom have Premiership experience. Talented midfield duo, John Bostock and Matt James are backed up by Crystal Palace’s Nathaniel Clyne, Aston Villa’s Nathan Baker and Arsenal’s Tom Cruise in defence.

Austria are delighted merely to have qualified, with a dramatic 4-3 victory against Denmark securing their spot in France. They have a number of players from German and Italian sides, as well as Aston Villa striker, Andreas Weimann, who finished as the top scorer in the Premiership reserve league last season.

England are hoping to go one better than last year and win this tournament, whilst Austria are happy simply to have made it. England should have the ability to get off to a good start here.

Bet: England U19 to win @ 1.66

Final Result: England U19 3 - 2 Austria U19

Friday, 16 July 2010

Tour de France 2010

As we pass the half-way mark of the Tour de France, the battle for the coveted Maillot Jeune, the yellow jersey, is down to only two men – Alberto Contador and Andy Schleck. Ahead of the tour, it was expected to be between these two, and as the other contenders have fallen away through the punishing Alps, so it has developed. There was to be no fairytale ending for Lance Armstrong, no British challenge from Bradley Wiggins and Team Sky, Cadel Evans fell away in the Alps, and no other rider has come through to challenge for the victory.


Following his announcement that this would be his final Tour de France, attention on the 7-time winner Lance Armstrong was even more intense than usual. His exceptional performance in the Prologue, where he finished fourth ahead of Alberto Contador, suggested that maybe there was still a final push left in him. However, following Stage 8 up to Morzine-Avoriaz, he admitted defeat in his attempt. Having fallen twice, he was unable to hang on to the leaders as they stepped up the pace up the mountain, and he is now over 17 minutes adrift of the yellow jersey.


Having come from nowhere last year to finish 4th, Bradley Wiggins was hoping to mount a major challenge this year. Supported by the newly established Team Sky, hopes were high, but performances have not lived up to expectation. The injury to team-mate Simon Gerrans was a big blow, as Gerrans was picked specifically to assist Wiggins in the mountain stages. He lies over 7 minutes adrift, and has now set his sights on securing a top-10 position when the Tour rolls into Paris.


The two-time runner-up, and reigning World Road Race champion, Cadel Evans was another who had hopes of finally capturing the yellow jersey. He was able to stay with his competitors on the gruelling Stage 8, but was dropped on the following day at the 160km mark. He later revealed that he was riding with a fractured elbow, which had virtually destroyed any hopes he had of securing the victory that he so desired.


Thus, it has boiled down to an intriguing contest between the two pre-race favourites. Alberto Contador is the reigning Tour de France champion, and in many eyes, one of the best stage riders there has been for many years. He is one of only a select few to have won all three Grand Tours – the Tour de France, the Giro d’Italia and the Vuelta de España. Andy Schleck is the young pretender. Hailing from Luxembourg, he finished as runner-up last year, and many felt he could have mounted a greater challenge to Contador had he not supported his elder brother, Frank, so much on the climb up the Ventoux. The withdrawal of Frank this year after Stage 3 with a fractured collarbone could prove a blessing in disguise, although his support in the Pyrenees will be missed.


Andy Schleck currently wears the yellow jersey, 41 seconds ahead of Contador. However, Contador remains the favourite at this stage, since he is a far superior time-triallist than Schleck. Realistically, Andy Schleck needs to establish a lead of at least 1m45s before the individual time trial to give himself a chance of holding off the Spaniard. As a result, the crucial stage that will determine the Tour is likely to be Stage 17 from Pau to the Col-de-Tourmalet. Tourmalet is a mountain-top finish and will be the opportunity for Andy Schleck to gain the time that he needs.


Stage 9 has already provided a preview of what we might expect, where Andy Schleck repeatedly tried to attack Contador up the slope, before they eventually decided to work together to put distance between themselves and their rivals. However, Andy Schleck will have to repeat this, and break-away from the Spaniard if he is to have a chance to win overall. The absence of his brother could prove crucial here, unless he can enlist the help of some of the other riders who are looking to boost their position in the general classification – the likes of Roman Kreuziger, Ivan Basso or Jurgen Van Den Broeck could be possibilities here.

At the current moment, Alberto Contador rightly remains the favourite, but Andy Schleck is making it into an intriguing contest. Even if this is not to be his year though, only a fool would bet against him eventually realising his potential and winning the biggest race in cycling.

Spanish football faces financial implosion

Spanish football is currently riding a wave of euphoria following the success of the national side in South Africa. Andres Iniesta’s late goal in Soccer City in Johannesburg sparked wild celebrations throughout the country. However, there is another wave that is growing, and it is one that is threatening to wash away any positive feelings in Spanish football. And that is the financial situation that is threatening the very existence of La Liga.


Just as Spain are currently the darlings of the international scene, Spain’s flagship club side, FC Barcelona, have drawn admiring glances from all corners in recent years, both for their attractive style of football, but also for the sensible and responsible manner in which the club has been run. ‘Mes que un club’ is their motto – ‘More than a club’ – and it is seen as not just a business, but an integral part of the community.

However, recent weeks have seen more unsavoury issues cropping up. The new club president, Sandro Roselli, had hinted at financial problems during his election campaign, and these have come to the fore in spectacular fashion. The club has experienced major liquidity problems that have led to the players not being paid for last month. They have been forced to approach the market for an additional €155m to cover their working costs, which they received from a group of Spanish banks. They have also been forced to sell Dmitro Chygrynskiy back to Shakhtar Donetsk for €15m, having paid over €25m for him less than 12 months previously. The more interesting aspect of this deal though is that manager, Josep Guardiola, wanted to keep the player, but the club sold him over his head to relieve the cash-flow problem.


Increased wage costs are a large part of the reason for the problems at Barcelona. In 2008, wages were just under €170m, but these have rocketed by 55% up to €262m in 2009/10. Some of this increase can be attributed to greater bonus payments as a result of the remarkable success that the club has experienced in recent times. Unfortunately, revenue has only increased by 33% over that same period. This means that wages now account for almost 64% of income. Furthermore, a major worry is that the short-term debt of €392m that the club faces far exceeds their working capital of €110m. There are some worries around the club that they may have to default on some of their loans during the close season.

However, it is not just Barcelona facing financial difficulties at the current time. The economic conditions in Spain at the moment have led to many clubs being forced deep into the red, and some to the brink of bankruptcy. The worst recession in over 50 years, the collapse of the real estate market and the dramatic increase in wage and transfer costs have all contributed to the current financial crisis in La Liga.

The financial statistics paint a damning picture. The 20 clubs in La Liga have a combined debt of €3.53bn, having recently overtaken the Premiership as the most indebted league in the world. Revenue growth in 07/08 and 08/09 has slumped from 10% to 4%, whilst operating costs have risen to €1.7bn, outstripping income of just €1.46bn – a significant difference of €240m. Only 3 clubs – Real Madrid, Barcelona and Numancia – made an operating profit. Labour costs represent 85% of total operating income of the 20 clubs.

As we can see, the situation is worrying, and getting worse. A major reason for the financial disparity in Spain is the negotiation of TV deals. Each club negotiates their own TV deal, rather than the collective bargaining agreement that is commonplace in other countries. As a result, Real Madrid and Barcelona rake in around half of the €600m pot of TV revenue between them – more than double that of the 3rd placed team, Valencia, and almost 19 times that of lowly Xerez. This leads to the big two having more money to spend that the other clubs, who often overspend in order to try and bridge the gap.


Despite the wishes of the other clubs to move to a collective bargaining agreement, the government and sporting bodies have shown no inclination to accede to their demands. This has led to the dramatic threat by a number of the richer clubs to break away from La Liga, creating a new and separate first division. This would clearly cause absolute chaos in Spanish football, and is likely to eventually lead to a change in the negotiations.

Potential new regulations are being debated where clubs will be limited to not spending more than 70-75% of their income on wages and transfer fees. This would include the powers to exclude any offenders from competitions. Whilst these new regulations would help, they still provide plenty of room for offenders to avoid them, and it seems as though they have come too late. With Valencia’s recent problems, and 5th placed Mallorca entering administration on the brink of bankruptcy, these issues should really have been addressed sooner.

Spain’s victory in the World Cup will provide a boost for Spanish football, but it needs to be harnessed in the correct manner to help to provide a financial benefit for the game in the country. Otherwise, the growing financial problems in the country are threatening to not only lead to the destruction of individual clubs, but could also rip apart the fabric of the league itself in Spain. And nobody would like to see that.

Thursday, 15 July 2010

Review of the World Cup Antepost Betting Tips


Bet 1: South Africa not to qualify @ 1.45 – WON
Bet 2: South Africa to finish bottom @ 2.4 – LOST

South Africa surprised people at this tournament, putting in a series of impressive performances to disprove their lowly FIFA World Ranking. After a spirited draw with Mexico in their opening game, a disappointing defeat to Uruguay seemed to have destroyed any hopes of qualification. However, an excellent performance against the disappointing French meant that they avoided finishing bottom of the group, but still failed to qualify.

Bet 3: Argentina to win group @ 1.54 – WON
Bet 4: South Korea to qualify @ 3.75 – WON

Argentina strolled through their group to finish top with 3 wins out of 3. South Korea comfortably beat the disappointing Greeks in their opening game, and despite a 4-1 defeat to Argentina, they did enough against Nigeria in their final group game to secure their spot in the second round.

Bet 5: Serbia to qualify @ 2.1 – LOST
Bet 6: Serbia to win group @ 4.5 – LOST

Serbia were immensely disappointing in this group. Defeat to Ghana in their opening game was a poor start, and although a promising victory over Germany followed, they failed to qualify after a defeat to Australia in their final group game.

Bet 7: Holland to win group @ 1.67 – WON
Bet 8: Japan to finish bottom @ 2.1 – LOST

Holland cruised through this group to finish top with consummate ease. Japan caused an upset when they beat Cameroon in their opening game, and despite a defeat to the Dutch, a 3-1 victory over Denmark meant they qualified for the second round.

Bet 9: Ivory Coast not to qualify @ 2 – WON

Ivory Coast failed to qualify following a defeat to Brazil and a goalless draw with Portugal. Following Portugal’s demolition of North Korea, qualification was a distant hope for Ivory Coast, and so it proved.

Bet 10: Chile to qualify @ 1.73 – WON

Chile impressed with an easy to watch brand of attacking football. Victories over Honduras and Switzerland secured their place in the second round, despite defeat to Spain costing them top-spot in the group.

Bet 11: South Korea best Asian/Oceania team @ 3.25 – WON
Bet 12: Australia best Asian/Oceania team @ 2.6 – LOST


South Korea were the only Asian or Oceania team in the second round.

Bet 13: David Villa Golden Boot @ 10 – WON
Bet 14: Robin Van Persie Golden Boot @ 29 – LOST
Bet 15: Robinho Golden Boot @ 59 – LOST
Bet 16: Diego Forlan Golden Boot @ 81 – WON

Four players shared the Golden Boot – David Villa, Diego Forlan, Wesley Sneijder and Thomas Muller. Five goals apiece was enough to secure their share of the award.

Bet 17: Spain/David Villa Winning Team/Golden Boot @ 26 – WON

Spain won the tournament with David Villa sharing the Golden Boot award.

Conclusion

Therefore, it was a successful tournament overall. With 10 out of the 17 tips coming through, and with six of those at odds of 2 or greater, there was a decent profit for the tournament. Serbia were the only major disappointment as far as the tips went, and there were a couple of big successes – the Spain/Villa combination brought a nice success at 26, whilst David Villa alone secured a nice win at odds of 10. However, it was the success of Diego Forlan that provided the biggest win at attractive odds of 81.

Wednesday, 7 July 2010

The moment that broke the heart of a continent

They say it only takes a second to score a goal, to become the hero, to write your name into the history books. However, blink for just a fraction of a second and the moment is gone. Such are the margins between success and failure, between elation and despair, between the semi-final and the plane home.

One man who knows that feeling intimately is Ghanaian striker, Asamoah Gyan. As the clock ticked around to the 120th minute of the World Cup quarter-final match between Ghana, the sole African nation remaining in the competition, and Uruguay, the ball was delivered into the Uruguayan penalty area. Chaos ensued as the ball ricocheted around with the Ghanaians desperately trying to force the ball over the line, and the Uruguayans similarly desperate to prevent the goal. As the ball flew towards the line, Uruguayan striker, Luis Suarez, stretched out his hand to push the ball away, preventing a certain goal. The referee pointed to the spot, brandishing the red card for Suarez. The already electric atmosphere inside Soccer City threatened to blow the roof off the ground.

There could be no complaints about the decision. There were no arguments from the Uruguayans as Suarez trudged off the pitch, tears running down his face. He felt that Uruguay were out of the World Cup, and that he was to blame. It was to be Asamoah Gyan to take the penalty. He had already scored twice from the spot in the tournament thus far, against Serbia and Australia. The referee blew the whistle, Gyan stepped up, and the ball flicked the crossbar as it flew over. Contrasting scenes on both the field and the touchline – Luis Suarez leapt up in celebration at the entrance to the tunnel; the Uruguayans on the field celebrated, whilst several of the Ghanaians slumped to the floor. The entire stadium, with the exception of two small pockets of Uruguayan support, went eerily silent. The final whistle blew and it was a penalty shoot-out. Uruguay went on to win and book their place in the semi-final.

Amongst the celebrations of the Uruguayans following their victory, the sight of Asamoah Gyan lying face-down on the turf near the centre circle in floods of tears reminds us that there are both winners and losers. His team-mates tried to help him to his feet, to get him off the field and into the privacy of the changing-rooms, but to little avail. The sheer devastation for the poor striker is unimaginable. He had the opportunity to send them to the semi-finals. He failed to take it. Although it is clearly not the case, he must feel like the burden of failure lies with him, and him alone. He showed great courage to step up first in the shoot-out and to score his penalty. But his thoughts, and the thoughts of the millions watching, must have been why he couldn't have done that a mere five minutes earlier.

But the pressure that was on Asamoah Gyan as he stepped up must have been immense. With South Africa and the rest of the African nations eliminated, Ghana were the final African representation in the tournament. The entire of Africa was behind the Black Stars. And the people had serious hopes that Ghana could go all the way - “we must keep the trophy in Africa” was a commonly heard phrase outside Soccer City ahead of the match. As if the hopes and expectations of an entire continent was not enough pressure by itself, an African side had never made it to the semi-finals of a World Cup in the history of the tournament. History was in the making – one kick and Asamoah Gyan and Ghana would go down in history. Thus, the pressure that Gyan was under as he stepped up to take the penalty kick was unlike anything we could imagine. Whether he was consciously thinking of that as he took it we may never know, but it must surely have been in the back of his mind.

Pressure penalties are difficult at the best of times. We have regularly seen the top players suffering under pressure. But to take a penalty like this after having played as a lone striker for 120 minutes just adds to the difficult. Fatigue had clearly been setting in, not only for Gyan, but for the majority of players out on the pitch. Tired bodies lead to tired minds – mistakes and miscalculations begin to set in. The key aspect of penalty-taking is to hit the target. If you hit the target and the keeper saves it, then fair play to him. Even if it is a poor penalty, it is better than missing the target altogether. That is the cardinal sin.

However, there is plenty for Gyan to be proud of. He had an excellent tournament, scoring against Serbia, Australia and the winning extra-time goal against the USA in the second round to get Ghana to the quarter-final stage. His tireless running, combined with pace and power stood out, and he is a player that no defender would relish playing against. However, there is the worry that little of that will be remember when we look back on the tournament in the future. The only memory will be his penalty clipping the bar as it flew over. And that is the tragedy.

The margins between hero-status and the villain are so fine – the contrasting experiences of Asamoah Gyan and Luis Suarez highlight that. In a fraction of a second, their relative status's changed so dramatically. Post-match, the Ghanaians argued that the referee should have awarded them the goal – the ball was going in and it was deliberately stopped illegally. However, this clearly could not have been done – this is not rugby where penalty tries can be awarded. The referee made the correct decision awarding the penalty and brandishing the red card.

The debate of how we regard the actions of Luis Suarez are for another time – was it deliberate cheating or the supreme act of gamesmanship? The answer depends on your views and your culture, but it may be seen as poetic justice that the red card effectively ended his tournament, with Uruguay being eliminated, despite a gallant late comeback, against the Dutch.

Regardless, it is difficult not to feel sorry for Ghana. Whilst not necessarily having the most talented squad, and without their inspirational leader, Michael Essien, they showed immense heart and determination to reach the quarter-finals, and every single one of their players and coaching staff deserve real credit for their achievement. But to be eliminated in such heartbreaking fashion will hurt, and the scars will remain for years to come.
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