So, I got 3 out 4 of predictions right last time around, missing out on the other by a single goal. Hopefully I can keep up the high success rate this weekend. The bets are ordered in terms of confidence - most confident first down to least confident. Hope these help...
Leeds United v Southend & Millwall v Gillingham
After a poor run of form, Leeds have targeted the two games this week as must-win games. They won the first of these on Monday against Yeovil and will fancy their chances tomorrow against Southend.
Southend have only won one game in 2010 so far and have lost eight on the bounce away from home. They have fallen into the relegation places and seem to be struggling to find any kind of form right now. Without any points away from home against teams in the top half and only 14 fit professionals, they will struggle.
Millwall are the form team in the division, making a late charge for automatic promotion. They have only lost once at home all season and face a side still winless away from home and battling relegation.
Bet: Leeds & Millwall both to win @ 1.9
Bet: Leeds -1.5AH @ 2.11
RKC Waalwijk v Vitesse
Waalwijk are simply not good enough to be in the top division, having accumulated only 12 points in 30 games this season, losing 12 out of 15 games at home, and on a run of 13 straight defeats. They have conceded 5 or more in four of their last six games, scoring only 5 in the process.
Vitesse are still not entirely safe, lying only six points above the relegation zone. They will fancy this game to stretch their difference above the zone, and virtually guarantee their place in the top division for next year. Two wins in their last three games, including an impressive 3-0 win last weekend against Groningen suggests they are in decent form.
This is more of a bet against Waalwijk than for Vitesse, but they should have enough to win without too much effort.
Bet: Vitesse @ 1.83
Sampdoria v Genoa
A derby game between these two sides. Sampdoria have been in decent form recently losing only 2 of the last 13 games, and are still unbeaten at home this season. Their talisman, Antonio Cassano, has returned to the team recently and got a goal at the weekend, and his partnership with Pazzini up front is working well. They need a win to keep the pressure on Palermo for the final Champions League place and will fancy their chances.
Genoa are one of the most inconsistent teams in the Serie A. However, they haven’t won away from home since early October, and their attacking play means that there are always goals in their games.
Obviously in a derby game, anything can happen, but Sampdoria need the win to preserve their chances for 4th and will fancy their chances against a Genoa side that are poor away from home.
Bet: Sampdoria to win @ 2.2
Hull City v Burnley
Hull are battling hard to try and avoid relegation from the Premiership. New manager Iain Dowie will get them fired up for this and the return of Jimmy Bullard has given them an extra spark and experience. They know that this is an excellent chance to pick up three points, and the pressure is really on them to get a result here.
Burnley have been poor away from home all season with only 1 point in 16 matches. They were simply awful against Manchester City last weekend, and haven’t won since early February, including home defeats against Portsmouth, Wolves and Blackburn. Rumours that Brian Laws will be sacked soon and bust-ups in the dressing room won’t help their cause, and defeat here would be a massive, potentially fatal blow to their hopes of avoiding relegation.
The pressure is really on Hull tomorrow, but the return of Bullard is a big bonus for them, and combined with Burnley’s poor away form, they should have a good chance of picking up all three points.
Bet: Hull @ 1.72
Livorno v Udinese
Livorno haven’t won since the 10th January and have only taken 5 points from 13 games since then. They lie bottom of the Serie A, eight points from safety. Manager Serse Cosmi was sacked earlier this week and replaced by Gennaro Ruotolo, who led them to promotion last season, but how much of a difference this will make is questionable.
Udinese are their own worst enemies. They have recorded wins against Milan, Napoli, Juventus and Palermo in 2010, but are yet to record an away victory this season. Confidence will be high after a 3-0 victory over Juventus last weekend and a victory would virtually assure them of avoiding relegation. However, defeat would potentially leave them right in the mire.
Although they have been awful away from home this season, Udinese have the quality to pick up a vital three points here and secure their safety. The handicap provides some cover on the draw.
Bet: Udinese 0AH @ 1.645
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